{"id":5233,"date":"2025-10-09T12:24:30","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T10:24:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/?p=5233"},"modified":"2025-10-09T12:24:30","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T10:24:30","slug":"gold-revaluation-imminent-us-treasury-hoard-tops-1-trillion-for-first-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/?p=5233","title":{"rendered":"Gold Revaluation Imminent? US Treasury Hoard Tops $1 Trillion For First Time"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Gold Revaluation Imminent? US Treasury Hoard Tops $1 Trillion For First Time<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the back of a 45% surge in the price of gold this year, the&nbsp;<strong>US Treasury&#8217;s hoard of the barbarous relic has surpassed $1 trillion in value for the first time in history.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%2830%29_2.jpg?itok=sP8sCqA4\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/get_attachment_url%20%2830%29_2.jpg?itok=sP8sCqA4\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That is&nbsp;<strong>more than 90 times what&#8217;s stated on the government&#8217;s balance sheet&nbsp;<\/strong>and is reigniting speculation that Treasury Secretary Bessent could revalue (mark to market) the massive pile of precious metal<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/TGA%20breakdown.jpg?itok=EPImpyRf\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/TGA%20breakdown.jpg?itok=EPImpyRf\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unlike most countries, the US\u2019s gold is held by the government directly, rather than the central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed instead holds gold certificates corresponding to the value of the Treasury\u2019s holdings, and credits the government with dollars in return.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That means,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/qe-without-qe-what-trumps-upcoming-gold-revaluation-shock-will-look\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">as we detailed previously,<\/a>&nbsp;that&nbsp;<strong>an update of the reserves&#8217; value in line with today&#8217;s prices would unleash roughly $990 billion into the Treasury\u2019s coffers<\/strong>, dramatically reducing the need to issue quite so many Treasury bonds this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Treasury Secretary Bessent initially dismissed the suggestion, a trillion dollars here and a trillion dollars there adds up and it would be by no means unprecedented. As Bloomberg reports,&nbsp;<strong>Germany, Italy and South Africa all have taken the decision to revalue their reserves in recent decades,<\/strong>&nbsp;as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/econres\/notes\/feds-notes\/official-reserve-revaluations-the-international-experience-20250801.html\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an August note from an economist at the Federal Reserve discussed<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2025-09-29_08-25-40.jpg?itok=oRO9-llv\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2025-09-29_08-25-40.jpg?itok=oRO9-llv\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>US gold re-marking would have implications for both the Treasury &amp; Fed balance sheets.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>US Treasury:\u00a0<\/strong>assets would rise by the value of the gold re-marking &amp; liabilities would rise by the size of gold certificates issued to the Fed.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Federal Reserve:\u00a0<\/strong>assets would rise by value of gold certificates &amp; liabilities would rise by a crediting of cash in the Treasury cash balance (Exhibit 4). And here is the punchline:\u00a0<strong>the Fed balance sheet impact would look like QE though no open market purchases would be required &amp; Fed liability growth would initially be in TGA.\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In other words, the best of all words:&nbsp;<em><u><strong>a QE-like operation, one which see the Fed quietly funnel almost $700 billion in cash to the Treasury&#8230; but without actually doing a thing!<\/strong><\/u><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On net, a gold re-marking would&nbsp;<strong>increase the size of both Treasury &amp; Fed balance sheets + allow for TGA to be used for Treasury priorities&nbsp;<\/strong>(i.e. SWF, pay down debt, fund deficit, etc). Meanwhile,&nbsp;<strong>the Fed and Treasury magically conjure some $990 billion out of thing air to be spent on whatever, all because the Treasury agrees that the fair value of gold is&#8230; the fair value of gold.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Needless to say, a gold re-marking would be seen by the market as unorthodox, if not completely unexpected. US gold has not been re-marked for decades likely to guard against&nbsp;<strong>(1) volatility of Treasury &amp; Fed balance sheets (2) concerns over fiscal &amp; monetary authority independence.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to &nbsp;none other than BofA&#8217;s heaviest of Fed plumbing hitters, former NY Fed staffer Mark Cabana, a gold re-marking could cause&nbsp;<strong>TGA to be paid down in ways that stoke macro activity, risk inflation, &amp; add excess cash into the banking system&nbsp;<\/strong>(higher TGA would eventually move to higher Fed reserves or ON RRP balances). In essence, gold re-marking would ease both fiscal &amp; monetary policy (all else equal).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indeed,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/qe-without-qe-what-trumps-upcoming-gold-revaluation-shock-will-look\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">as we said back in February,<\/a>&nbsp;<em><u><strong>just like a QE but without the actual QE.<\/strong><\/u><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The BofA strategist&#8217;s conclusion is that gold re-marking is possible (and certainly likely after Bessent&#8217;s earlier comments), but has legal questions, &#8220;<strong>may not be well received by the market since it would amount to an easing of fiscal &amp; monetary policies + erosion of fiscal \/ monetary independence&#8221;&nbsp;<\/strong>(<em>yup, QE under any other name&#8230;<\/em>)<strong>.&nbsp;<\/strong>And, not unironically,&nbsp;<strong>the revaluation of gold will also send the price of gold (not to mention bitcoin and anything else that may also be subsequently remonetized) soaring.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As such, BofA still places low odds of US asset monetization until Bessent provides more credible detail on how he will \u201cmonetize the asset side of the US balance sheet.&#8221; We, however, having realized that Trump moves very fast and breaks everything in his path, are confident that the odds of a gold revaluation are surging, and are a big part of why gold is trading just shy of $4000&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>For more, including what the rates market impact of a gold re-marking would be across the entire complex, read the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/ya9x0gff5weliz3vfc0yz\/MUST-READ-BofA-Mark-Cabana-Gold-Revaluation.pdf?rlkey=46hbxxwt5vugnrsgm892n8dzp&amp;dl=0\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">full note from February<\/a>&nbsp;avaliable to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/signup\/professional-membership-year\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">pro subscribers&nbsp;<\/a>in the usual place.<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tyler Durden<\/a>&nbsp;Tue, 09\/30\/2025 &#8211; 06:11<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold Revaluation Imminent? US Treasury Hoard Tops $1 Trillion For First Time On the back of a 45% surge in the price of gold this year, the&nbsp;US Treasury&#8217;s hoard of the barbarous relic has surpassed $1 trillion in value for the first time in history. That is&nbsp;more than 90 times what&#8217;s stated on the government&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-global-issues"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5233"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5234,"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5233\/revisions\/5234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dhcab.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}